Somebody, Save Me... From This Super El Niño Heat!
This week's forecast for The Bahamas for June 14 - 20.
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Birthday Shoutouts
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Special Sky Report!
The new moon will happen on Sunday at 10:56 p.m. The sun will set between 8:00 and 8:01 p.m. and rise between 6:19 and 6:20 a.m. Venus, Jupiter, Mars and Saturn will be visible in the sky this week, while Uranus, Neptune and Mercury will be difficult to see. The Summer Solstice is on June 21st (next Sunday) at 4:24 a.m!
See what the astronomers are saying here. See what’s visible in the Bahamas here.
Recall that the spring tide, when the tide is the highest or the lowest of the month, occurs twice a month during full and new moons. See the Bahamian tide chart for 2026 here.
The new moon will occur in Gemini as the Sun is in Gemini! Big moment for being more social and working on our communication. Venus is Leo may amplify this energy with big adoration and passion for art, friends and luck with money. Mercury in Cancer drives us to think more about emotions and memories when it comes to friendship and ourselves. Mars in Taurus challenges us to stay the course and to be persistent. We may be stubborn and defensive, but patience is a virtue!
Here are some updates on the outer planets: Jupiter is moving out of Cancer until about June 30th, Saturn is in Aries, Uranus is in Gemini, Neptune is in Aries and Pluto is retrograding in Aquarius. For more on what this means, see what the astrology people have to say about this.
Let's get into this week's forecast!
The Week Ahead:
Quick Summary:
The El Niño Advisory is out and it’s going to be strong! Get ready for a hot summer starting this week! Keep your eye on the heat index! To get an idea of how cool it may feel, add the heat index number to the high and low temperatures in these forecasts.
Humidity and some cloudy skies may bring some showers this week. Rain accumulation may range between 0.15 - 0.75 inches by next Sunday in the northern region. In the northwest, they may range between 0.30 - 1.25 inches. In the central region, they may range between 0.20 - 1.00 inches and 0.05 - 1.25 inches in the southeast. Flooding will may occur in low-lying areas! This is also a reminder that you can see total rain accumulation here for multiple islands, thanks to the CoCoRAHS network!
The Blog:
On Sunday, expect cloudy conditions with possible showers everywhere, especially in the northwest, central and southeast regions. Rainfall will be light in the northern region, light to moderate in the northwest, moderate in the central region, and moderate to heavy in the southeast. Thunderstorms are likely to occur in the northwest, central and southeast regions. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light (5 - 10 kts) with gusts in the northern region. Mostly southeasterly winds will be light in the northwest and light and calm (10 - 15 kts) in the central region. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be calm with gusts in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 85 - 86°F and lows near 80 - 81°F in the northern region (Heat index +7°F to +8°F), highs near 86 - 89°F and lows near 76 - 79°F in the northwest (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), highs near 85°F and lows near 79 - 80°F in the central region (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 87°F and lows near 80 - 81°F in the southeast (Heat index +9°F to +12°F).
On Monday, expect very cloudy conditions with light to moderate showers everywhere, especially in the northern and northwest regions. Thunderstorms are very likely to occur everywhere. Southerly and southwesterly winds will be light with gusts in the northern region. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light with gusts in the northwest. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be light and calm with gusts in the central region and calm and breezy (15 - 20 kts) in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 86°F and lows near 80 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +7°F to +9°F), highs near 87 - 91°F and lows near 77 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 85 - 86°F and lows near 79 - 80°F in the central region (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), and highs between 85 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +8°F to +11°F). Watch for possible sea swells around the southeast.
On Tuesday, expect cloudy conditions with light to moderate showers everywhere, especially in the northwest. Thunderstorms are very likely to occur in the northern and northwest regions and likely to occur in the central and southeast regions. Southerly and southwesterly winds will be light and calm in the northern region. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be calm in the central region and calm and breezy in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87°F and lows near 81 - 83°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 88 - 92°F and lows near 77 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 85 - 86°F and lows near 79 - 80°F in the central region (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), and highs between 85 - 86°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +8°F to +12°F). Watch for possible sea swells around the southeast.
On Wednesday, expect cloudy conditions with light to moderate showers everywhere, especially in the northern region. Thunderstorms are likely to occur everywhere, especially in the northern region. Mostly southerly winds will be light and calm in the northern region. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest and may become weak (0 - 5 kts) and light later. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be calm in the central region and calm and breezy in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87°F and lows near 81 - 83°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 87 - 92°F and lows near 77 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +12°F), highs near 86°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 85 - 86°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +8°F to +11°F). Watch for possible sea swells around the southeast.
On Thursday, expect cloudy conditions with light showers everywhere. Thunderstorms are possible to occur everywhere. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light and calm in the northern region. Southeasterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be calm and breezy in the central and southeast regions. Temperatures will range with highs near 87°F and lows near 80 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 88 - 92°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 86°F and lows near 79 - 80°F in the central region (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), and highs between 85 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +8°F to +11°F). Watch for possible sea swells around the southeast.
On Friday, expect cloudy conditions with possible light showers everywhere. Thunderstorms are unlikely to occur, but are possible in the northern and southeast regions. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light and calm in the northern region. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest, and calm and breezy in the central and southeast regions. Temperatures will range with highs near 86 - 87°F and lows near 80 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +9°F), highs near 87 - 92°F and lows near 77 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), highs near 85 - 86°F and lows near 79°F in the central region (Heat index +7°F to +9°F), and highs between 85 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +8°F to +12°F). Watch for possible sea swells around the southeast.
On Saturday, expect cloudy conditions with light to moderate showers everywhere, especially in the central and southeast regions. Thunderstorms may occur in the northern, central and southeast regions. Southerly and southeasterly winds will be light and calm in the northern region. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest and central regions, and calm and breezy in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 86 - 87°F and lows near 80 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +7°F to +9°F), highs near 87 - 92°F and lows near 77 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +7°F to +10°F), highs near 85 - 86°F and lows near 79°F in the central region (Heat index +7°F to +9°F), and highs between 85 - 86°F and lows near 79 - 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +8°F to +11°F).
Hurricane News
As of Saturday (June 13) morning, we have a disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico that has a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and 7 days. The soon to be Super El Niño means that there is lower chance for an active hurricane season and Saharan dust plumes over the Atlantic will also hamper hurricane formation this week. But with the disturbance mentioned earlier, we want to keep watch.
See more on Atlantic Hurricane predictions on the Fin Forum here.
Remember to have your hurricane plan ready! For more information on this, check out the Masters of Disasters’ article on how to prepare a hurricane kit! They also have tips on how to survive the heat and how to prepare for a flood! The Colorado State University updated hurricane forecast can be found here. You can keep up with tropical cyclone formation updates here.
ANNOUNCEMENTS & RESOURCES
These forecasts are subject to change throughout the week.
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