Graduating into Heatwaves!
This week's forecast for The Bahamas for June 28 - July 3.
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Birthday Shoutouts
Happy Birthday to Shenique Ferguson, Chan Thompson and Ryan Lewis!
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Special Sky Report!
The full Strawberry moon will take place on Monday at 7:58 p.m. The sun will set around 8:03 p.m. and rise between 6:22 and 6:23 a.m. Venus, Jupiter, Mars and Saturn will be visible in the sky this week, while Uranus, Neptune and Mercury will be difficult to see.
See what the astronomers are saying here. See what’s visible in the Bahamas here.
Recall that the spring tide, when the tide is the highest or the lowest of the month, occurs twice a month during full and new moons. See the Bahamian tide chart for 2026 here.
The full moon in Capricorn will ask you to balance your commitments to your career and your family, friends and home life. Cancer Season is for finding safety “at home” with you loved ones and what’s familiar. Venus in Leo is full of passion and pride for art, beauty and relationships! Mercury in Cancer is sentimental and warm with some emotional drive. Mercury will go into retrograde this Monday, so communications could be messy. Mars is now in Gemini which means we can see the power in our communication and in attempts to be tactical and flexible in our work.
Here are some updates on the outer planets: Jupiter is entering Leo this Tuesday, Saturn is in Aries, Uranus is in Gemini, Neptune is in Aries and Pluto is retrograding in Aquarius. For more on what this means, see what the astrology people have to say about this.
Let's get into this week's forecast!
The Week Ahead:
Quick Summary:
It’s relatively calm week for the weather this week with continued summer heat. Keep your eye on the heat index because it’s gonna be HOT! To get an idea of how cool it may feel, add the heat index number to the high and low temperatures in these forecasts. Remember that the Super El Niño is coming! (More info here). Also, expect some Saharan dust to cover The Bahamas, especially early this week!
Rain accumulation may range between 0.10 - 1.25 inches by next Sunday in the northern region. In the northwest, they may range between 0.10 - 1.00 inches. In the central region, they may range between 0.15 - 1.25 inches and 0.01 - 0.75 inches in the southeast. Flooding will may occur in low-lying areas! This is also a reminder that you can see total rain accumulation here for multiple islands, thanks to the CoCoRAHS network!
The Blog:
On Sunday, expect partially cloudy conditions with possible light showers everywhere. Thunderstorms are unlikely to occur. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be weak (0 - 5 kts) and light (5 - 10 kts) in the northern region and light and calm (10 - 15 kts) in the northwest. Mostly easterly winds will be calm in the central region and calm with gusts in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87 - 88°F and lows near 81 - 83°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 89 - 93°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 86°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 89°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +9°F to +12°F).
On Monday, expect partially cloudy conditions with possible light showers, especially in the northern and northwest regions. Thunderstorms are unlikely to occur. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be weak and light in the northern, light with gusts in the northwest, and light and calm in the central region. Easterly winds will be calm and breezy (15 - 20 kts) in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87 -88°F and lows near 81 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +7°F to +9°F), highs near 88 - 92°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 86°F and lows near 79 - 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 88°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +10°F to +13°F). Watch for possible sea swells around the southeast.
On Tuesday, expect partially cloudy conditions with possible light showers everywhere. Thunderstorms are not likely to occur. Mostly southeasterly winds will be light and may become weak in the northern region. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be light in the northwest. Mostly easterly winds will be light and calm in the central region. Northeasterly and easterly winds will be calm in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87 - 88°F and lows near 81 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +9°F), highs near 88 - 93°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 86°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 85 - 88°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +10°F to +14°F).
On Wednesday, expect partially cloudy conditions with possible light showers everywhere. Thunderstorms may occur in the northern and southeast regions. Mostly southeasterly winds will be weak and light and may become more easterly over the evening in the northern region. Mostly easterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest and central regions, and calm in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87°F and lows near 81 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +9°F), highs near 88 - 93°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +10°F to +13°F).
On Thursday, expect cloudy conditions with light to moderate showers everywhere. Thunderstorms are likely to occur everywhere, especially in the northern and southeast regions. Mostly southeasterly and easterly winds will be weak and light in the northern region. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be light and calm in the northwest and central regions, and calm and breezy in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87 - 88°F and lows near 81 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +9°F), highs near 88 - 92°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +9°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +10°F to +13°F).
On Friday, expect cloudy conditions with light to moderate showers everywhere, especially in the northern and northwest regions. Thunderstorms are likely to occur everywhere. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be weak and light in the northern region, light and calm in the northwest and central regions, and calm in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87 - 88°F and lows near 80 - 81°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 88 - 92°F and lows near 78 - 80°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 86°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +10°F to +13°F).
On Saturday, expect cloudy conditions everywhere with possible rain. Rainfall will be light to moderate everywhere, but may be moderate to heavy in the northwest and central regions. Thunderstorms are likely to occur everywhere. Mostly southeasterly winds will be light in the northern region, and light and calm in the northwest. Southeasterly and easterly winds will be light and calm in the central region, and calm in the southeast. Temperatures will range with highs near 87 - 88°F and lows near 81 - 82°F in the northern region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), highs near 88 - 91°F and lows near 78 - 81°F in the northwest (Heat index +8°F to +11°F), highs near 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the central region (Heat index +8°F to +10°F), and highs between 86 - 87°F and lows near 80°F in the southeast (Heat index +10°F to +12°F).
Hurricane News
As of Saturday (June 27) morning, there is no current tropical cyclone activity expected for the next 7 days. El Niño Watch means that there is lower chance for an active hurricane season.
See more on Atlantic Hurricane predictions on the Fin Forum here.
Remember to have your hurricane plan ready! For more information on this, check out the Masters of Disasters’ article on how to prepare a hurricane kit! They also have tips on how to survive the heat and how to prepare for a flood! The Colorado State University updated hurricane forecast can be found here. You can keep up with tropical cyclone formation updates here.
ANNOUNCEMENTS & RESOURCES
These forecasts are subject to change throughout the week.
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LET US KNOW HOW WE ARE DOING! HOW WAS LAST WEEK'S FORECAST?!